Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +425 MEM -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -4.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (+31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.9 (-3.1) | 130.3 (+23.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -4.4 (-1.6) | 133.2 (+20.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -4.2 (-1.8) | 135.3 (+18.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -4.0 (-2.0) | 130.9 (+23.1) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | TULN 81 – 69 MEM |
| Mar 8, 2026 | MEM 96 – 95 TULN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TULN 78 – 76 MEM |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MEM 78 – 77 TULN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MEM 68 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 11-4 |
| Home | 6-6 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 62.7 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#228) | 5.3 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#88) | 0.52 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#99) | 1.43 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#132) | 0.457 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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