Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.0 Over |
| Money | CCU -10000 DSU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +26 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -25.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -19.4 (+6.6) | 155.4 (+16.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -25.1 (+0.9) | 154.4 (+17.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -22.7 (+3.3) | 155.8 (+16.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
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