Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -210 TCU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +1 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -9.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -7.5 (-8.5) | 135.9 (+17.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -5.2 (-6.2) | 135.1 (+17.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -5.3 (-6.3) | 135.6 (+17.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -6.9 (-7.9) | 135.8 (+17.2) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | TCU 95 – 88 OKST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | TCU 95 – 92 OKST |
| Jan 21, 2026 | TCU 68 – 65 OKST |
| Feb 13, 2025 | TCU 73 – 72 OKST |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TCU 74 – 69 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#73) | 2.4 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#4) | 0.42 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.57 (#5) | 0.31 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#59) | 0.503 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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