Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | SIU -350 UND +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +21 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -11.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -10.4 (+10.6) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -7.7 (+13.3) | 141.0 (+8.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -10.7 (+10.3) | 141.1 (+7.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -10.9 (+10.1) | 142.0 (+7.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2020 | SIU 62 – 50 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#106) | -3.6 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#52) | -1.74 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#69) | -2.34 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#32) | 0.400 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 3.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 9.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 48.5% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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