Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -350 UND +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +12 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -14.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -13.5 (-1.5) | 142.4 (-30.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -9.9 (+2.1) | 141.1 (-29.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -13.9 (-1.9) | 141.4 (-29.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -13.6 (-1.6) | 142.5 (-30.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2020 | SIU 85 – 64 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#90) | -4.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#58) | -1.79 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#73) | -2.29 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#56) | 0.430 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 4.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 14.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 39.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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