Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -7.0 Push |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | PUR -280 OSU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -5.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -2.6 (+4.4) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -3.6 (+3.4) | 132.6 (-5.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -1.7 (+5.3) | 141.3 (-14.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -2.1 (+4.9) | 142.5 (-15.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 PUR |
| Jan 22, 2025 | OSU 73 – 70 PUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | OSU 73 – 69 PUR |
| Mar 11, 2023 | PUR 80 – 66 OSU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | PUR 82 – 55 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#57) | 7.6 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | 2.81 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#135) | 3.93 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#151) | 0.591 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 35.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 80.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.