What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 8.3 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Alabama -0.8 142.1 45% 67–70 ✗
La Salle @ Rhode Island +13.1 142.1 88% 54–56 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +9.1 142.6 84% 61–72 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +6.4 141.8 77% 67–73 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland +1.9 135.4 61% 67–50 ✗
Colgate @ Bucknell -9.7 149.8 17% 75–56 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton +4.8 150.1 70% 64–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +10.9 136.2 86% 69–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +10.7 142.4 86% 74–61 ✗
High Point @ Charleston Southern -6.6 138.3 24% 66–70 ✗
Campbell @ Longwood +6.8 131.2 74% 64–72 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State -3.6 141.3 35% 62–59 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -6.2 142.9 27% 80–64 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -11.2 137.0 15% 83–57 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton -0.7 142.0 45% 74–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Hartford -4.8 140.8 31% 57–69 ✗
Maine @ UMass Lowell +11.9 131.3 87% 62–71 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +3.6 134.3 65% 66–54 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.7 144.4 39% 80–83 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +11.7 154.1 87% 50–88 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +2.8 145.1 65% 64–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +12.8 148.1 88% 77–89 ✓
Marquette @ Villanova +11.9 138.4 85% 57–54 ✗
TCU @ Oklahoma State +3.8 130.7 64% 56–57 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +2.6 133.3 65% 55–63 ✓
Illinois State @ Missouri State +10.9 155.3 85% 63–88 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +6.9 137.6 77% 83–71 ✗
Boston College @ Louisville +5.2 138.3 72% 54–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M -4.2 147.0 38% 64–58 ✓
Iowa @ Rutgers -4.7 148.5 33% 46–48 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +19.7 154.7 91% 60–83 ✓
Xavier @ DePaul -4.4 152.1 31% 68–67 ✓
Virginia @ Pittsburgh -2.5 123.9 37% 66–61 ✓
San José State @ Wyoming +16.6 140.0 91% 69–84 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +13.2 153.1 88% 74–80 ✓
North Florida @ Florida State +16.5 138.8 89% 73–86 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +12.7 145.8 88% 75–83 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -2.1 139.5 42% 60–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.