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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–8 on winners spread MAE 9.2 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas @ Oklahoma -2.2 144.3 41% 67–64 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Ohio State +23.4 136.1 91% 37–83 ✓
Butler @ UConn +14.8 136.7 89% 59–76 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Dayton +4.5 135.8 71% 50–68 ✓
Iona @ Monmouth -0.2 142.8 49% 86–85 ✓
Davidson @ VCU +2.0 131.6 59% 63–61 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan +1.1 139.2 57% 72–63 ✗
UCF @ East Carolina -0.9 144.9 48% 92–85 ✓
North Carolina @ Miami -0.0 155.8 48% 57–85 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -2.1 140.0 42% 93–91 ✓
Jacksonville @ Liberty +5.9 126.1 71% 49–88 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky +4.4 154.9 65% 72–86 ✓
North Alabama @ Bellarmine +7.3 136.0 76% 60–68 ✓
Kent State @ Eastern Michigan +0.4 143.3 50% 56–47 ✗
Ball State @ Toledo +15.5 150.9 89% 70–83 ✓
Ohio @ Miami (OH) -1.4 145.8 43% 86–63 ✓
South Carolina @ Arkansas +9.0 146.0 82% 59–75 ✓
Missouri @ Ole Miss +9.4 138.6 84% 78–53 ✗
Maryland @ Michigan +6.3 141.0 73% 64–83 ✓
South Florida @ Houston +19.8 133.3 91% 55–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Evansville -13.4 134.6 14% 77–48 ✓
Richmond @ Fordham -0.4 139.6 52% 83–70 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Central Arkansas -10.3 148.9 17% 86–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois -1.1 144.4 48% 92–83 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas +8.6 126.1 79% 66–65 ✗
Duke @ Florida State -5.1 143.7 31% 78–79 ✗
Wisconsin @ Northwestern -1.3 145.3 42% 82–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +4.2 127.0 65% 60–72 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -4.1 139.6 38% 68–60 ✓
Clemson @ Syracuse +1.4 150.8 56% 78–91 ✓
Air Force @ Boise State +14.2 125.4 88% 56–62 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +3.8 125.5 64% 60–73 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State +3.2 133.3 68% 54–61 ✓
American University @ Army +8.9 140.7 82% 66–76 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ UNC Asheville +6.2 139.9 74% 73–71 ✗
Hampton @ Radford +5.1 130.6 66% 51–54 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +4.6 141.6 68% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.