Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -2.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.7 (-4.7) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -2.0 (-4.0) | 131.6 (-7.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -2.1 (-4.1) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -1.9 (-3.9) | 133.0 (-9.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#64) | 9.5 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#65) | 2.71 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#77) | 2.87 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#51) | 0.620 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 41.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 58.1% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.