Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +9 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -0.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -0.7 (-9.7) | 135.8 (-0.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -1.1 (-10.1) | 139.2 (-4.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -1.0 (-10.0) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -1.0 (-10.0) | 139.6 (-4.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MAN 76 – 69 NIA |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MAN 79 – 70 NIA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MAN 85 – 70 NIA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MAN 72 – 65 NIA |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MAN 84 – 78 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#249) | -0.2 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -0.58 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#179) | -0.73 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#149) | 0.494 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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