Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +25 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -12.4 (-37.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -7.7 (-32.7) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -9.4 (-34.4) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -9.9 (-34.9) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -9.6 (-34.6) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MISS 76 – 69 MIZ |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 75 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MISS 84 – 78 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MISS 79 – 76 MIZ |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 77 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | -4.6 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#117) | 0.17 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#108) | 0.14 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#140) | 0.500 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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