In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Freedom Hall (KY) · January 19, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -7.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual BELL +8 128 Won
Massey BELL -6.2 (+1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 128.3 (-0.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -5.8 (+2.2) 136.7 (-8.7) 71% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -7.3 (+0.7) 136.0 (-8.0) 76% ✓
Baseline ML BELL -7.2 (+0.8) 136.6 (-8.6) 78% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -7.5 (+0.5) 139.0 (-11.0) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 UNA 73 – 68 BELL
Jan 10, 2026 UNA 82 – 73 BELL
Jan 3, 2025 UNA 82 – 66 BELL
Feb 24, 2024 BELL 82 – 70 UNA
Jan 12, 2024 UNA 69 – 53 BELL

Game Analysis

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