Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -475 AMER +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -11.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -8.8 (+1.2) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -8.9 (+1.1) | 140.7 (+1.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -8.9 (+1.1) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -8.0 (+2.0) | 140.3 (+1.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMER 75 – 63 ARMY |
| Jan 18, 2026 | AMER 78 – 67 ARMY |
| Feb 19, 2025 | ARMY 76 – 69 AMER |
| Feb 1, 2025 | AMER 71 – 68 ARMY |
| Feb 28, 2024 | AMER 73 – 51 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#272) | -13.9 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#241) | -1.73 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#269) | -2.11 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#216) | 0.387 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.6% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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