Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +6 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -18.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -19.7 (-13.7) | 122.3 (-4.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -14.2 (-8.2) | 125.4 (-7.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -14.3 (-8.3) | 125.2 (-7.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -14.7 (-8.7) | 125.8 (-7.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 59.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#66) | -0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#62) | -0.50 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#62) | 0.481 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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