Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +8 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -5.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.0 (-4.0) | 137.9 (-9.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.1 (-3.9) | 139.6 (-11.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -3.4 (-4.6) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.7 (-4.3) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-8 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#74) | 16.5 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#85) | 2.46 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#97) | 3.23 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#90) | 0.615 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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