Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | NU -0.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -0.9 (-6.9) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.3 (-4.7) | 145.3 (+12.7) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -0.7 (-5.3) | 145.1 (+12.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -0.1 (-6.1) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | WIS 85 – 73 NU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | WIS 70 – 63 NU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WIS 75 – 69 NU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WIS 70 – 61 NU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | WIS 71 – 63 NU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#60) | 11.8 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#99) | 3.95 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#105) | 4.72 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#150) | 0.680 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 12.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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