Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -7.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -6.7 (+7.3) | 156.1 (+1.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -4.4 (+9.6) | 154.9 (+3.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -4.3 (+9.7) | 156.4 (+1.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -4.6 (+9.4) | 153.8 (+4.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
Game Analysis
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