Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +23 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -0.7 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -0.8 (-22.2) | 143.3 (+5.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -1.4 (-21.6) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -0.8 (-22.2) | 145.7 (+3.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -1.6 (-21.4) | 145.2 (+3.8) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Feb 14, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#137) | 4.4 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#215) | 2.57 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#195) | 3.16 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#272) | 0.589 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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