In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–7 on winners spread MAE 7.4 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mercer @ The Citadel +0.5 153.1 50% 71–64 ✗
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -10.3 146.8 17% 80–64 ✓
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +4.7 140.7 71% 58–70 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner +17.3 140.3 91% 64–95 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +7.2 141.5 77% 66–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Bryant +4.9 150.1 72% 52–82 ✓
Harvard @ Dartmouth +0.9 141.2 52% 60–59 ✗
Kennesaw State @ North Florida -5.7 141.5 28% 62–60 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +8.1 144.2 81% 86–78 ✗
Delaware @ Northeastern -2.8 141.8 35% 82–76 ✓
Towson @ William & Mary -14.0 137.5 13% 91–69 ✓
Lamar @ Stephen F. Austin +11.5 136.3 86% 78–86 ✓
Wyoming @ Nevada -5.5 144.6 26% 77–67 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +4.5 149.7 67% 72–74 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +4.8 136.7 70% 63–55 ✗
Drake @ Southern Illinois -2.5 131.4 40% 60–59 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -3.3 133.5 35% 63–69 ✗
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -6.2 141.6 25% 78–70 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State +9.2 148.0 83% 74–73 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -3.5 139.8 38% 81–56 ✓
Portland State @ Southern Utah +9.3 138.0 83% 76–86 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho State -10.9 135.2 16% 78–61 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +0.0 142.9 49% 92–85 ✗
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.2 135.1 71% 57–65 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -4.6 136.6 35% 77–68 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +11.4 138.8 87% 73–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.