Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NAU -5.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -4.9 (-2.9) | 150.3 (-4.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -4.5 (-2.5) | 149.7 (-3.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -3.9 (-1.9) | 150.1 (-4.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -3.3 (-1.3) | 151.2 (-5.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-14 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#323) | -11.4 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#297) | -2.93 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#296) | -2.90 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#280) | 0.367 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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