Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WAG -2800 FDU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +31 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -22.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -17.2 (+13.8) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -17.3 (+13.7) | 140.3 (+18.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -18.9 (+12.1) | 140.9 (+18.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -18.5 (+12.5) | 141.7 (+17.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WAG 75 – 72 FDU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | FDU 68 – 61 WAG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FDU 69 – 58 WAG |
| Jan 5, 2025 | FDU 71 – 59 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FDU 57 – 54 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#94) | -13.1 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#47) | -2.33 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#50) | -2.95 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#96) | 0.407 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.