Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -1.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -2.2 (+1.2) | 124.6 (-5.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -2.5 (+1.5) | 131.4 (-12.4) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.3 (+1.3) | 132.7 (-13.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -2.2 (+1.2) | 128.6 (-9.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DRKE 67 – 63 SIU |
| Feb 19, 2026 | SIU 66 – 61 DRKE |
| Jan 15, 2026 | DRKE 76 – 73 SIU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | DRKE 70 – 53 SIU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DRKE 75 – 65 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.6 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#135) | 6.5 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | 0.52 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#188) | 0.75 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#216) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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