Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -1.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.5 (-4.5) | 135.1 (+22.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -2.8 (-3.2) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -2.6 (-3.4) | 143.0 (+15.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -2.6 (-3.4) | 139.6 (+18.4) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2025 | NE 80 – 77 DEL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | DEL 73 – 67 NE |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DEL 77 – 74 NE |
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEL 81 – 78 NE |
| Jan 16, 2023 | NE 59 – 58 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-12 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#244) | 1.4 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#252) | 1.12 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#241) | 1.35 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#267) | 0.561 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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