Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -6.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -4.2 (-5.8) | 144.8 (-0.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -5.5 (-4.5) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -5.5 (-4.5) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -5.4 (-4.6) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#142) | 11.6 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#116) | 2.82 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#117) | 3.40 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#84) | 0.611 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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