This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · January 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BAY -5.0 Away covered
O/U 137.0 Over
Money WVU +185 / BAY -215
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual BAY +9 145 Lost
Massey BAY -7.4 (-1.6) — —
Massey Totals — 135.2 (+9.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 42% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 28% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BAY -5.3 (-3.7) 134.8 (+10.2) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BAY -4.6 (-4.4) 136.6 (+8.4) 35% ✓
Baseline ML BAY -5.1 (-3.9) 136.7 (+8.3) 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BAY -5.4 (-3.6) 135.5 (+9.5) 39% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 BAY 63 – 53 WVU
Feb 15, 2025 BAY 74 – 71 WVU
Feb 17, 2024 BAY 94 – 81 WVU
Feb 14, 2023 BAY 79 – 67 WVU
Jan 12, 2023 BAY 83 – 78 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU BAY
Overall 16-17 27-7
Conference 4-14 14-4
Home 12-5 15-2
Away 1-11 8-3
Neutral 3-1 4-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 77.0
Avg Pts Against 69.0 64.1
Massey 8.7 (#55) 20.0 (#5)
Bradley-Terry 2.74 (#23) 3.70 (#3)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.30 (#28) 4.93 (#2)
RPI 0.624 (#18) 0.623 (#20)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU BAY
FG% 42.9% 48.1%
3PT% 31.4% 36.4%
REB / G 34.5 38.8
OREB / G 11.7 13.4
AST / TO 0.87 1.38
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 55.1%
TOV% 18.0% 18.3%
ORB% 32.4% 38.1%
FT Rate 23.7% 16.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 25.1% 25.2%
DRB% 66.5% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 15.5% 17.0%

Game Analysis

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