Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +22 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | TOW -15.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -14.2 (-7.8) | 135.5 (+24.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -14.0 (-8.0) | 137.5 (+22.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -13.0 (-9.0) | 138.4 (+21.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -14.5 (-7.5) | 137.0 (+23.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2025 | W&M 84 – 70 TOW |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TOW 88 – 73 W&M |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 W&M |
| Feb 16, 2024 | TOW 61 – 52 W&M |
| Feb 14, 2023 | W&M 68 – 66 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 4-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L10 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 62.4 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#340) | 6.5 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#340) | 1.08 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.19 (#349) | 1.44 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#347) | 0.547 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 25.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.