Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -6.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -8.4 (+3.6) | 139.7 (-11.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -4.7 (+7.3) | 140.7 (-12.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -4.4 (+7.6) | 140.3 (-12.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -4.5 (+7.5) | 139.8 (-11.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | PORT 71 – 58 LMU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | PORT 89 – 78 LMU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LMU 88 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 9, 2024 | PORT 78 – 70 LMU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PORT 70 – 60 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#182) | -3.5 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#132) | -0.30 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#126) | -0.46 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#119) | 0.452 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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