Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +17 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -10.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -12.2 (-4.8) | 135.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -10.9 (-6.1) | 135.2 (+3.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -12.6 (-4.4) | 137.3 (+1.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -13.0 (-4.0) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WEB 83 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WEB 81 – 79 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | IDST 72 – 67 WEB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | WEB 77 – 69 IDST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | IDST 80 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -15.1 (#350) | -0.7 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.50 (#349) | 0.54 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.89 (#345) | 0.75 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.317 (#358) | 0.501 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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