Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +8 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -8.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -5.0 (+3.0) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -5.2 (+2.8) | 135.1 (-13.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -5.5 (+2.5) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -5.5 (+2.5) | 137.6 (-15.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | SPU 69 – 57 CAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SPU 70 – 62 CAN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SPU 62 – 49 CAN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SPU 70 – 59 CAN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SPU 54 – 52 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#221) | -7.2 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#212) | -1.26 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#215) | -2.13 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#174) | 0.445 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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