Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -10.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -7.3 (+0.7) | 140.7 (-0.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -7.2 (+0.8) | 141.5 (-1.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -7.0 (+1.0) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -6.9 (+1.1) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | CCSU 108 – 106 SHU |
| Nov 22, 2024 | SHU 67 – 54 CCSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CCSU 68 – 67 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | CCSU 77 – 70 SHU |
| Feb 25, 2023 | SHU 69 – 67 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#287) | -13.4 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#304) | -2.50 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#311) | -3.13 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#307) | 0.390 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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