Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -16.9 (-15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -13.8 (-12.8) | 137.7 (+9.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -11.4 (-10.4) | 138.8 (+8.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.9 (-10.9) | 137.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -12.5 (-11.5) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | AKR 90 – 73 WMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | AKR 104 – 89 WMU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | AKR 105 – 92 WMU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | WMU 90 – 84 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | AKR 77 – 66 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#175) | -13.5 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#171) | -1.87 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#167) | -2.25 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#175) | 0.432 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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