Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFA +8 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | SFA -17.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFA -14.0 (-6.0) | 135.5 (+28.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFA -11.5 (-3.5) | 136.3 (+27.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFA -12.1 (-4.1) | 136.4 (+27.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFA -11.7 (-3.7) | 135.5 (+28.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SFA 84 – 74 LAM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SFA 88 – 81 LAM |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAM 67 – 62 SFA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SFA 72 – 63 LAM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SFA 70 – 56 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 0-18 |
| Home | 13-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 7-4 | 0-18 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L27 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#150) | -12.4 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | -4.33 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#166) | -5.54 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#134) | 0.332 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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