Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -1.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -0.3 (-0.7) | 139.2 (-20.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -0.9 (-1.9) | 141.2 (-22.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -0.4 (-1.4) | 141.5 (-22.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.0 (-1.0) | 141.4 (-22.4) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 5-9 |
| Home | 5-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#231) | -0.7 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#282) | -0.64 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#266) | -0.69 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#290) | 0.457 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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