Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -5.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -7.8 (+4.2) | 126.1 (+5.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -4.2 (+7.8) | 127.0 (+5.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -4.4 (+7.6) | 128.5 (+3.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -4.8 (+7.2) | 126.1 (+5.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#16) | 13.0 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#19) | 3.20 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.72 (#20) | 4.46 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#61) | 0.602 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 26.1% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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