Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -8.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -7.3 (+11.7) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -6.3 (+12.7) | 141.0 (+6.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -6.5 (+12.5) | 142.1 (+4.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -6.1 (+12.9) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | MICH 101 – 83 MD |
| Mar 15, 2025 | MICH 81 – 80 MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | MD 71 – 65 MICH |
| Jan 12, 2024 | MD 64 – 57 MICH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MD 64 – 58 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#49) | 5.1 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#96) | 0.64 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#81) | 0.82 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#84) | 0.533 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.