Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCAT +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -5.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -6.1 (-8.1) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -6.2 (-8.2) | 139.9 (+4.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -6.2 (-8.2) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -6.4 (-8.4) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.