Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +13 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -6.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -7.1 (+5.9) | 123.6 (+9.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -3.8 (+9.2) | 125.5 (+7.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -4.2 (+8.8) | 126.0 (+7.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -4.3 (+8.7) | 125.6 (+7.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Home | 5-7 | 4-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#264) | -8.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#253) | -1.78 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#248) | -1.78 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#251) | 0.401 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.