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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–11 on winners spread MAE 8.8 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
West Virginia @ Texas +5.6 122.8 70% 59–74 ✓
Memphis @ Wichita State +3.5 143.5 65% 82–64 ✗
Creighton @ Marquette +0.7 145.2 58% 75–69 ✗
Bucknell @ Boston University +11.8 146.4 88% 61–63 ✓
Furman @ VMI +0.8 153.2 56% 67–76 ✓
Baylor @ Iowa State -2.6 130.6 39% 77–72 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +3.2 135.8 66% 73–67 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Army -0.1 141.7 51% 74–77 ✗
Navy @ Holy Cross -13.8 130.2 14% 70–56 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +9.1 148.5 81% 73–74 ✓
Milwaukee @ Northern Kentucky +5.0 138.5 70% 61–55 ✗
Green Bay @ Wright State +5.3 141.8 72% 69–72 ✓
Louisiana @ Coastal Carolina +5.2 141.7 74% 65–64 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +1.1 145.2 60% 76–88 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State -4.6 139.5 32% 63–66 ✗
Providence @ DePaul +2.6 139.3 57% 70–53 ✗
UTSA @ UAB +23.0 146.3 91% 59–87 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +14.2 132.5 89% 40–60 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +10.3 143.9 84% 72–87 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +1.0 135.6 53% 57–62 ✓
Western Illinois @ St. Thomas +0.5 154.7 53% 66–89 ✓
Ohio @ Western Michigan -12.6 142.6 14% 59–47 ✓
Lehigh @ American University +3.0 141.2 62% 63–61 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -3.3 143.4 40% 78–65 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +6.5 131.1 73% 55–77 ✓
Florida State @ NC State -3.2 148.3 38% 83–81 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +3.3 142.3 65% 69–77 ✓
San Diego State @ UNLV -0.6 133.7 46% 62–55 ✓
George Mason @ Kansas +18.1 150.1 89% 67–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Rutgers +11.9 138.7 87% 48–79 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +2.7 139.3 65% 56–74 ✓
Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State +0.6 150.3 50% 79–98 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +10.3 135.2 82% 43–75 ✓
Chicago State @ New Mexico State +15.2 141.0 90% 61–78 ✓
Wake Forest @ Miami +0.0 151.9 49% 84–92 ✓
Virginia @ Syracuse +5.3 135.7 71% 74–69 ✗
Bowling Green @ Ball State -1.1 159.1 48% 80–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.