Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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26–13 on winners spread MAE 7.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCF @ South Florida -0.2 134.9 45% 61–68 ✗
Wyoming @ Fresno State -1.0 149.7 47% 78–74 ✓
Marshall @ Louisiana Tech +1.7 145.0 56% 80–73 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +4.1 145.8 71% 84–94 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Long Beach State -6.1 147.9 30% 89–76 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Montana +12.7 130.9 85% 64–62 ✗
North Texas @ Loyola Chicago +8.4 137.2 78% 49–57 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -1.4 149.8 49% 64–60 ✓
San Francisco @ Gonzaga +15.4 159.4 87% 62–85 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska -0.4 147.4 54% 84–77 ✓
Colorado @ UCLA -3.6 144.2 40% 62–65 ✗
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian +1.6 152.5 55% 93–99 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +10.2 143.0 85% 61–65 ✓
Stanford @ Oregon +6.2 139.7 75% 56–73 ✓
Nevada @ New Mexico -2.7 135.9 41% 84–74 ✓
Arizona @ Washington State -6.0 130.5 32% 86–82 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern +8.0 131.0 79% 58–66 ✓
NJIT @ UMass Lowell -0.3 141.6 44% 60–74 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine +1.0 129.1 52% 62–58 ✗
Duquesne @ George Washington -3.4 143.3 33% 73–75 ✗
Binghamton @ Hartford +8.9 130.6 81% 74–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Hofstra +9.4 138.0 85% 73–82 ✓
Charleston @ Delaware +2.8 133.3 63% 66–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Siena — — — 77–78 —
Army @ Colgate +18.5 151.8 90% 75–73 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ South Carolina State -5.2 147.8 27% 73–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Missouri State +10.4 145.8 83% 66–70 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville +1.5 135.8 58% 64–70 ✓
Lehigh @ Lafayette +4.7 157.8 66% 70–82 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island +13.1 152.6 87% 77–85 ✓
North Dakota State @ Western Illinois -5.1 133.9 29% 78–67 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +1.8 124.8 57% 77–53 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -5.9 150.5 29% 86–75 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +15.1 145.5 89% 57–79 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +4.5 135.8 69% 66–74 ✓
Ohio State @ Minnesota +2.4 152.3 62% 60–77 ✓
Morgan State @ James Madison +0.2 144.2 48% 80–73 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Drake +15.1 149.5 88% 55–73 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -1.0 150.0 44% 54–70 ✗
Navy @ Bucknell +1.6 144.3 51% 63–60 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.