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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–2 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Houston
@
SMU
|
+1.8 | 137.5 | 58% | 74–60 | ✗ |
Northwestern
@
Michigan
|
+7.0 | 146.4 | 79% | 66–85 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
Montana
|
+7.9 | 128.9 | 79% | 54–56 | ✓ |
Boston University
@
Holy Cross
|
— | — | — | 83–76 | — |
Stanford
@
Oregon State
|
-5.5 | 134.7 | 28% | 81–71 | ✓ |
Winthrop
@
Charleston Southern
|
-14.2 | 146.5 | 16% | 85–69 | ✓ |
Monmouth
@
Siena
|
+2.3 | 154.2 | 63% | 62–76 | ✓ |
Campbell
@
Gardner-Webb
|
+4.6 | 141.2 | 70% | 70–61 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
+0.8 | 139.6 | 53% | 69–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.