The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 10.5 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern Illinois @ Drake +16.0 146.4 89% 55–86 ✓
Hampton @ Radford +3.9 130.5 65% 66–79 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State +10.7 150.5 87% 78–86 ✓
Maryland @ Indiana +3.2 143.4 67% 55–63 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State +3.3 144.2 67% 87–84 ✗
Colorado State @ San Diego State +3.6 130.5 66% 65–78 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -2.9 149.9 36% 61–81 ✗
Jackson State @ Alabama State +2.5 127.2 59% 60–44 ✗
Holy Cross @ Boston University +11.8 148.8 85% 68–66 ✗
Toledo @ Kent State +2.4 143.6 63% 84–82 ✗
Campbell @ Gardner-Webb +2.4 140.1 62% 70–85 ✓
Winthrop @ Charleston Southern -12.7 147.4 16% 78–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ James Madison +4.7 143.4 67% 70–79 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -13.3 130.3 16% 54–55 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate +1.7 138.7 55% 59–65 ✓
Hampton @ Radford +4.3 130.7 66% 65–76 ✓
Central Michigan @ Bowling Green +10.9 155.0 86% 69–90 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +21.2 140.2 91% 73–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.