We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–13 on winners spread MAE 10.8 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.0 147.0 64% 65–61 ✗
Stony Brook @ UNC Wilmington +16.1 143.4 89% 70–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +3.9 143.0 67% 60–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +17.2 147.8 89% 49–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +6.5 142.4 75% 71–90 ✓
UConn @ Marquette +6.8 144.1 77% 77–69 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami -7.7 154.7 22% 57–63 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +12.7 131.3 86% 61–63 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +3.8 141.3 65% 73–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -7.0 131.9 23% 62–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +9.7 151.9 83% 62–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +6.0 157.2 77% 62–80 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +0.7 131.1 58% 58–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +6.3 146.1 77% 57–75 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts -2.6 137.9 36% 67–73 ✗
Denver @ Omaha +10.2 146.9 86% 69–78 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -5.8 131.7 28% 76–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Kentucky +10.0 155.6 80% 89–79 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +12.5 147.9 86% 65–94 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +5.9 155.3 72% 82–63 ✗
Syracuse @ California +4.4 151.7 71% 75–66 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +5.0 135.1 73% 65–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +10.4 134.9 85% 54–85 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +10.0 147.7 84% 84–64 ✗
Washington State @ San Francisco +5.6 147.9 73% 51–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +1.7 147.4 55% 58–62 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +9.2 141.8 84% 57–82 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.4 157.0 71% 79–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +4.6 139.6 69% 64–87 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +0.8 126.5 56% 63–50 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +9.9 141.8 83% 56–59 ✓
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic +7.3 151.2 77% 72–94 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +0.8 155.4 60% 64–66 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State +2.3 140.7 64% 69–72 ✓
Manhattan @ Sacred Heart +0.9 156.6 60% 72–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +1.6 125.7 51% 79–64 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Siena -0.1 144.4 47% 75–84 ✗
Memphis @ Rice -10.4 143.9 17% 86–83 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +9.7 149.3 80% 80–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +4.9 156.0 74% 81–79 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +5.3 135.8 67% 57–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +0.3 140.9 51% 69–83 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +2.1 157.1 64% 62–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -4.0 127.4 34% 66–64 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul +6.2 137.4 78% 57–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.