I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–15 on winners spread MAE 9.6 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Duquesne +0.4 133.3 53% 62–59 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina +8.4 143.2 77% 67–53 ✗
Brown @ Vermont +3.1 134.9 54% 60–53 ✗
Northwestern @ Iowa +5.8 140.2 75% 79–80 ✓
Army @ Le Moyne +3.9 146.9 60% 103–100 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Akron +7.8 146.7 75% 73–86 ✓
Dartmouth @ New Hampshire +0.5 140.3 41% 69–65 ✗
Santa Clara @ McNeese +7.6 140.1 70% 74–67 ✗
East Tennessee State @ James Madison +3.8 144.4 66% 61–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Florida A&M -4.9 144.1 27% 63–66 ✗
High Point @ UNC Greensboro +4.1 133.5 68% 68–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Dayton +19.0 148.7 88% 69–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ George Mason +13.1 146.4 86% 52–74 ✓
Arkansas @ Miami -5.6 149.2 27% 76–73 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia +13.8 146.3 83% 48–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +2.7 146.3 62% 71–82 ✓
Stetson @ South Florida +14.1 150.7 87% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ Queens University -1.1 146.9 38% 86–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Chattanooga +1.0 142.5 60% 80–62 ✗
California @ Missouri +11.5 151.9 82% 93–98 ✓
South Carolina @ Boston College +3.8 142.0 65% 73–51 ✗
Princeton @ Saint Joseph's +6.2 148.0 73% 77–69 ✗
La Salle @ Northeastern +4.1 141.9 67% 68–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Tennessee +25.4 150.8 91% 70–96 ✓
UT Martin @ Charleston Southern +2.8 135.2 59% 68–83 ✓
Sam Houston @ Indiana +13.6 153.3 86% 71–97 ✓
Evansville @ Murray State +13.5 144.8 87% 61–63 ✓
Bradley @ Southern Illinois -2.0 149.3 45% 83–60 ✓
Alabama State @ SMU +16.0 154.6 87% 72–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Loyola Chicago +13.5 146.3 86% 54–76 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +5.7 148.7 61% 67–64 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Oklahoma +14.3 149.5 85% 61–76 ✓
Wake Forest @ Texas A&M +12.2 133.3 85% 44–57 ✓
Ole Miss @ Louisville +9.4 148.7 75% 86–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ Grand Canyon +6.6 149.0 71% 72–78 ✓
San Diego @ Arizona State +19.6 144.8 89% 53–90 ✓
Utah Tech @ Boise State +18.7 145.0 88% 64–87 ✓
Florida State @ LSU +6.2 147.8 73% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ Providence -2.5 144.7 40% 64–83 ✗
Kentucky @ Clemson +1.8 153.7 63% 66–70 ✓
UTSA @ Saint Mary's +21.5 147.8 90% 74–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ Stanford +9.0 147.4 79% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +15.6 130.5 89% 58–69 ✓
West Georgia @ Mercer +8.7 142.9 75% 72–86 ✓
Harvard @ Holy Cross +5.0 136.9 70% 67–68 ✓
Baylor @ UConn +4.6 152.8 76% 72–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida International -1.2 150.5 42% 88–77 ✓
Columbia @ UAlbany -1.9 149.1 41% 73–88 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland +4.5 148.0 70% 59–83 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -1.1 152.3 49% 75–84 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.