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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–14 on winners spread MAE 8.4 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Iowa State +0.4 132.5 49% 53–57 ✓
Missouri @ Kentucky +13.7 159.2 87% 77–90 ✓
Texas @ Cincinnati +7.3 140.8 74% 74–73 ✗
Wake Forest @ Florida State -0.5 150.1 52% 82–87 ✗
Kansas State @ West Virginia -3.3 139.7 31% 81–67 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers +4.2 139.9 68% 57–66 ✓
South Carolina @ Alabama +12.2 152.2 84% 47–74 ✓
Rhode Island @ Davidson +6.5 139.3 74% 79–74 ✗
VCU @ George Mason +7.8 140.4 75% 54–50 ✗
Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +5.1 139.5 60% 80–64 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -7.9 140.4 20% 80–76 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan +0.8 150.9 54% 90–95 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +2.7 153.9 68% 89–75 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo -2.3 142.5 34% 86–65 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green +2.6 145.9 64% 78–83 ✓
Yale @ Brown -4.8 138.3 30% 80–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Nicholls +5.2 138.2 68% 61–66 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Texas Tech +10.3 142.0 83% 73–90 ✓
Richmond @ Loyola Chicago +1.3 133.7 57% 58–56 ✗
Purdue @ Nebraska -7.5 146.3 33% 72–88 ✗
BYU @ Baylor +1.9 155.0 64% 72–81 ✓
Colorado State @ Boise State -0.3 143.9 53% 58–65 ✗
Wyoming @ Utah State +15.8 146.0 88% 59–83 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -16.6 138.3 14% 84–58 ✓
Vanderbilt @ LSU +12.7 140.9 88% 69–77 ✓
Duke @ Pittsburgh +0.8 144.0 48% 75–53 ✗
Texas A&M @ Auburn +9.0 143.6 84% 55–66 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +5.3 133.5 67% 75–68 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +17.1 136.1 89% 54–67 ✓
New Mexico @ UNLV -3.0 147.9 38% 73–83 ✗
San Diego State @ San José State -10.0 139.7 16% 81–78 ✓
Green Bay @ IU Indianapolis -10.9 134.8 17% 68–58 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Army +4.7 128.5 57% 71–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Penn State +0.3 143.0 49% 76–72 ✗
Providence @ St. John's +5.5 138.8 74% 73–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +0.0 149.3 51% 85–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.