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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–11 on winners spread MAE 8.6 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
LSU @ Alabama -0.8 141.4 56% 67–70 ✗
La Salle @ Rhode Island +13.8 142.5 87% 54–56 ✓
George Washington @ Saint Joseph's +9.7 141.8 83% 61–72 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +6.6 141.5 75% 67–73 ✓
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland +1.5 135.5 56% 67–50 ✗
Colgate @ Bucknell -9.1 149.6 18% 75–56 ✓
St. John's @ Creighton +4.0 151.1 70% 64–87 ✓
Lehigh @ Navy +13.1 136.1 84% 69–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +10.4 142.3 84% 74–61 ✗
High Point @ Charleston Southern -6.1 138.6 25% 66–70 ✗
Campbell @ Longwood +6.5 132.9 76% 64–72 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State -4.0 141.4 36% 62–59 ✓
Wake Forest @ Georgia Tech -6.3 143.6 27% 80–64 ✓
Vermont @ NJIT -10.4 139.6 16% 83–57 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton -0.4 142.0 44% 74–71 ✓
New Hampshire @ Hartford -5.3 141.8 43% 57–69 ✗
Maine @ UMass Lowell +12.4 131.4 88% 62–71 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +4.0 135.0 63% 66–54 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.7 146.4 37% 80–83 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +12.1 155.1 86% 50–88 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +2.7 147.0 63% 64–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +13.2 149.6 87% 77–89 ✓
Marquette @ Villanova +12.1 137.5 82% 57–54 ✗
TCU @ Oklahoma State +4.1 131.2 69% 56–57 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +2.7 133.6 62% 55–63 ✓
Illinois State @ Missouri State +10.9 154.8 84% 63–88 ✓
Bradley @ Drake +6.7 137.8 76% 83–71 ✗
Boston College @ Louisville +5.5 137.3 72% 54–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M -4.0 147.2 37% 64–58 ✓
Iowa @ Rutgers -4.7 151.0 35% 46–48 ✗
Georgia @ Auburn +21.3 155.5 91% 60–83 ✓
Xavier @ DePaul -4.2 150.0 32% 68–67 ✓
Virginia @ Pittsburgh -2.7 125.6 30% 66–61 ✓
San José State @ Wyoming +18.6 138.0 91% 69–84 ✓
New Mexico @ Colorado State +14.0 153.7 86% 74–80 ✓
North Florida @ Florida State +17.6 139.3 89% 73–86 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +13.0 145.2 87% 75–83 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -1.6 141.3 40% 60–58 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.