They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–4 on winners spread MAE 11.2 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
East Texas A&M @ UConn +30.6 143.5 91% 46–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Kentucky +27.8 153.3 90% 68–97 ✓
Cincinnati @ Northern Kentucky -13.8 132.3 16% 76–60 ✓
Florida A&M @ Florida +33.2 155.9 91% 60–84 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Green Bay +1.2 149.2 49% 57–82 ✓
Drexel @ Fairfield -1.2 131.4 43% 67–61 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte +2.0 144.3 57% 54–60 ✓
Hampton @ UMBC +3.1 132.3 59% 78–68 ✗
Troy @ West Georgia -3.9 140.1 33% 84–65 ✓
Wagner @ Boston University +5.9 120.2 51% 60–58 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Chicago State -7.2 144.4 23% 86–66 ✓
Buffalo @ Vermont +7.4 138.7 69% 67–78 ✓
Niagara @ Bowling Green +7.7 153.9 84% 68–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ Marist +14.0 151.6 84% 62–75 ✓
Milwaukee @ Duquesne +3.3 140.6 62% 80–74 ✗
North Dakota @ Notre Dame +20.4 145.7 88% 58–75 ✓
Hofstra @ Florida State +1.8 138.0 62% 61–79 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UCF +15.5 146.9 87% 69–80 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +12.9 144.4 84% 49–93 ✓
Delaware State @ Providence +19.6 130.7 87% 48–78 ✓
Evansville @ Ohio State +23.9 141.4 90% 30–80 ✓
Cleveland State @ Minnesota +11.7 121.5 84% 47–58 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Georgia +21.4 148.1 86% 45–93 ✓
Canisius @ Maryland +31.4 140.0 91% 37–108 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wake Forest +17.0 137.4 86% 69–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ Louisville +23.8 139.0 90% 68–100 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Belmont +11.5 147.7 84% 80–90 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Tulane +12.2 142.0 84% 57–72 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Kansas +16.3 155.8 84% 66–84 ✓
UT Arlington @ Missouri State +8.4 165.6 80% 68–78 ✓
Samford @ Michigan State +9.1 156.4 77% 75–83 ✓
Western Illinois @ Northern Iowa +10.1 135.6 80% 56–82 ✓
Charleston Southern @ LSU +25.6 145.1 91% 68–77 ✓
Alcorn State @ TCU +36.8 136.6 91% 48–71 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Kansas State +28.0 135.3 91% 56–74 ✓
Rider @ Iowa +15.8 143.2 85% 58–83 ✓
Rice @ Louisiana -0.1 137.4 48% 83–61 ✓
Southern Utah @ Loyola Chicago +9.8 148.2 81% 72–76 ✓
Purdue @ Marquette +14.5 150.6 83% 58–76 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ DePaul +23.5 149.3 90% 69–78 ✓
Montana State @ Northwestern +16.8 139.9 87% 69–72 ✓
UC Riverside @ Santa Clara +3.0 150.6 58% 54–96 ✓
Charleston @ The Citadel +1.9 147.5 55% 76–61 ✗
Siena @ Xavier +12.1 148.4 82% 55–80 ✓
Yale @ Stony Brook -2.7 149.2 33% 86–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.