Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -550 DART +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -17.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -12.0 (+1.0) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -12.0 (+1.0) | 151.5 (-14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -13.1 (-0.1) | 152.8 (-15.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -14.0 (-1.0) | 151.6 (-14.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | MRST 75 – 56 DART |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MRST 63 – 53 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#219) | -13.2 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#180) | -2.01 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#220) | -3.27 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#271) | 0.288 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 35.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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