Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -38.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +35 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -29.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -28.4 (+6.6) | 145.0 (-18.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -23.2 (+11.8) | 143.8 (-16.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -30.4 (+4.6) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -30.6 (+4.4) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CONN 83 – 59 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#12) | -5.7 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#151) | -0.36 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#165) | -0.43 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#279) | 0.465 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 43.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.30 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 83.2% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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