Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -20000 EVAN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +50 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -26.8 (+23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -23.9 (+26.1) | 141.4 (-31.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -23.0 (+27.0) | 143.5 (-33.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -20.0 (+30.0) | 141.6 (-31.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -19.7 (+30.3) | 134.9 (-24.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#31) | -8.1 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#93) | -1.81 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#91) | -2.32 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#43) | 0.372 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.1% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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