Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -1400 CLE +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +11 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -14.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -11.7 (-0.7) | 121.5 (-16.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -11.6 (-0.6) | 128.0 (-23.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -9.7 (+1.3) | 126.5 (-21.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -12.0 (-1.0) | 123.6 (-18.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#163) | -6.9 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#225) | 0.16 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#239) | -0.20 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#280) | 0.491 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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